• The situation in the Middle East just got more dangerous, but the markets are all but ignoring this right now.  Higher bond yields, higher oil prices, and less liquidity are all things that could disrupt this rally…but a wider war in the Middle East would provide a shock.  The odds that will happen might not be high…but they’re higher than they were a week ago.
  • Believe it or not, the XLK technology ETF has done nothing over the past month.  In fact, it won’t take much of a decline from current levels to raise a yellow warning flag on a technical basis.  (Yellow flags are less serious than red flags, but they can still be followed by a surprising pullback.)


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